La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 18:00
11.7853.6%
X3.9124.4%
24.3222.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celta
WWLWWWDLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Vallecano
DDDWLLWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.70
9.40
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celta attack
1.80goals per matchVallecano conceded1.20Matchup
Vallecano attack
0.90goals per matchCelta conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.70
9.40
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.50
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.70
Match total
23.00
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
5.40
On target
4.10
15%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches473
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.6%60.0%+6.5 pp
Draw24.4%22.0%-2.4 pp
Away22.1%18.0%-4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS57.9%
Historical average
1.93–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.1%
2-111.6%
2-010.1%
1-09.9%
1-27.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.02–4.04
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=473.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.530.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches116
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.1%40.2%–58.1% CI
Draw FT33.6%25.7%–42.6% CI
Away FT17.2%11.4%–25.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.6%
2+ goals56.0%
3+ goals26.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.8%
Away46.6%