La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 18:00
11.7853.6%
X3.9124.4%
24.3222.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
WWLWWWDLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Vallecano
DDDWLLWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.70
9.40
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.80goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.20
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.90goals per match
Celta conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.70
9.40
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.50
Match total
5.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.70
Match total
23.00

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
5.40
On target
4.10
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches473
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.6%60.0%+6.5 pp
Draw24.4%22.0%-2.4 pp
Away22.1%18.0%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

1.931.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
2-111.6%
2-010.1%
1-09.9%
1-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.024.04
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=473.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches116
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.1%40.2%–58.1% CI
Draw FT33.6%25.7%–42.6% CI
Away FT17.2%11.4%–25.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.6%
2+ goals56.0%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.8%
Away46.6%