La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 18:00
11.8551.4%
X4.1522.9%
23.7025.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WWWWWWDWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Villarreal
WLDWWLWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
2.50
Against
3.80
11.40
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.90
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

3.00goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.40goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
2.50
Corners against
3.80
11.40
Match total
8.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.30
Match total
5.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
23.10
Match total
25.70

Shots

21.40N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
7.70
On target
3.70
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.4%66.7%+15.3 pp
Draw22.9%13.3%-9.6 pp
Away25.7%20.0%-5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

2.401.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.0%
2-013.3%
1-113.3%
5-06.7%
5-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.605.53
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.3%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away53.3%