La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-15 · 18:00
13.7425.4%
X3.3028.8%
22.0845.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Osasuna
DDLDWDDLWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Ath Madrid
WWLDWLDWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.80
Against
5.10
7.90
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
3.10
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Osasuna attack
1.60goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.80Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.50goals per matchOsasuna conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.10
7.90
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.00
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
24.80
Match total
25.20
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.20
On target
3.40
15%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches225
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.4%20.0%-5.4 pp
Draw28.8%33.8%+5.0 pp
Away45.7%46.2%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS45.8%
Historical average
0.91–1.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.1%
0-013.3%
1-112.9%
0-28.9%
1-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.72–5.16
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=225.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.544.9%
Over 11.532.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.6%5.0%–17.9% CI
Draw FT48.2%37.8%–58.8% CI
Away FT42.2%32.1%–52.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.12
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.9%
2+ goals30.1%
3+ goals10.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home24.1%
Away56.6%