La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-14 · 20:30
11.3869.1%
X5.0618.8%
27.8712.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Real Madrid
WWWDWWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Mallorca
LWLLDDLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
10%
70%
BTTS
20%
By half
2.10
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.70
Against
5.90
11.20
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Real Madrid attack
2.30goals per matchMallorca conceded1.30Matchup
Mallorca attack
0.50goals per matchReal Madrid conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.90
11.20
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.10N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
22.30
Match total
23.50
Shots
19.40N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
7.60
On target
1.90
12%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches163
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.1%79.1%+10.1 pp
Draw18.8%12.9%-6.0 pp
Away12.1%8.0%-4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.568.7%
Over 3.539.9%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
2.63–0.78
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-114.1%
3-011.0%
1-010.4%
2-09.8%
4-15.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.25–3.43
Average total10.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=163.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.0%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.549.1%
Over 11.539.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.0%43.4%–72.9% CI
Draw FT28.2%16.5%–43.8% CI
Away FT12.8%5.6%–26.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals51.3%
3+ goals25.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home74.4%
Away33.3%