La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-14 · 18:00
12.1644.1%
X3.1730.1%
23.6925.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
DLDLLWLLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Valencia
LDDLDDDWDW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.40
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.90
0%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.70
0.60
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.00
Against
6.80
8.80
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
1.20
Total goals
3.30
30%3/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
0%0/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.40goals per match
Valencia conceded1.90
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.40goals per match
Alaves conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.80
8.80
Match total
11.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
6.00
Match total
3.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
29.70
Match total
21.90

Shots

9.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.10
On target
2.90
4%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches694
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.1%43.4%-0.7 pp
Draw30.1%34.6%+4.5 pp
Away25.8%22.0%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS49.4%

Historical average

1.310.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.0%
1-013.3%
0-011.7%
2-010.8%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.244.08
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=694.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.523.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches278
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.0%30.6%–41.8% CI
Draw FT46.8%41.0%–52.6% CI
Away FT17.3%13.3%–22.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals9.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.1%
Away39.9%