La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-14 · 18:00
12.1644.1%
X3.1730.1%
23.6925.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Alaves
DLDLLWLLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Valencia
LDDLDDDWDW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.40
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.90
0%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
90%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.70
0.60
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.00
Against
6.80
8.80
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
1.20
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Alaves attack
0.40goals per matchValencia conceded1.90Matchup
Valencia attack
1.40goals per matchAlaves conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.80
8.80
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
6.00
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.50N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
29.70
Match total
21.90
Shots
9.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.10
On target
2.90
4%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches694
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.1%43.4%-0.7 pp
Draw30.1%34.6%+4.5 pp
Away25.8%22.0%-3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS49.4%
Historical average
1.31–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.0%
1-013.3%
0-011.7%
2-010.8%
2-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.24–4.08
Average total9.32
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=694.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.523.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches278
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.0%30.6%–41.8% CI
Draw FT46.8%41.0%–52.6% CI
Away FT17.3%13.3%–22.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals9.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.1%
Away39.9%