La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-13 · 20:30
11.6956.6%
X3.7325.6%
25.3717.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sevilla
DWDDLDLLDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Las Palmas
WDLLLDLDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.80
Against
7.10
9.20
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.00goals per matchLas Palmas conceded1.50Matchup
Las Palmas attack
1.00goals per matchSevilla conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.10
9.20
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.50
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
24.20
Match total
23.30
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
4.40
On target
2.70
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches611
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.6%57.4%+0.9 pp
Draw25.6%23.4%-2.2 pp
Away17.8%19.1%+1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS49.6%
Historical average
1.70–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.1%
1-111.6%
2-110.3%
2-010.0%
0-05.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.07–3.63
Average total9.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=611.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.529.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches200
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.5%40.7%–54.4% CI
Draw FT33.5%27.3%–40.3% CI
Away FT19.0%14.2%–25.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.0%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.5%
Away41.0%