La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-13 · 18:00
14.5920.8%
X3.8824.6%
21.7554.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valladolid
LWWLLDLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Girona
DLWLLLDLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.90
2.30
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.10
Against
5.70
8.80
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
2.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valladolid attack
0.60goals per matchGirona conceded1.90Matchup
Girona attack
0.90goals per matchValladolid conceded2.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.10
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.70
8.80
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.80
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.90
Match total
23.60
Shots
8.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
2.50
On target
3.30
7%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches307
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.8%21.2%+0.4 pp
Draw24.6%21.5%-3.1 pp
Away54.6%57.3%+2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS50.8%
Historical average
1.03–1.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.7%
0-29.8%
0-19.8%
0-09.1%
1-36.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.21–5.74
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=307.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.530.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%14.9%–31.8% CI
Draw FT36.7%27.4%–47.0% CI
Away FT41.1%31.5%–51.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.6%
Away54.4%