La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-13 · 18:00
14.5920.8%
X3.8824.6%
21.7554.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
LWWLLDLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Girona
DLWLLLDLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.90
2.30
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.10
Against
5.70
8.80
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
2.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.60goals per match
Girona conceded1.90
Matchup

Girona attack

0.90goals per match
Valladolid conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.10
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.70
8.80
Match total
9.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.80
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.90
Match total
23.60

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
2.50
On target
3.30
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches307
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.8%21.2%+0.4 pp
Draw24.6%21.5%-3.1 pp
Away54.6%57.3%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.031.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.7%
0-29.8%
0-19.8%
0-09.1%
1-36.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.215.74
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=307.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%14.9%–31.8% CI
Draw FT36.7%27.4%–47.0% CI
Away FT41.1%31.5%–51.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.6%
Away54.4%