La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 17:30
11.8850.5%
X3.2429.3%
24.6820.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
WWWDWWDDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Alaves
LDDWLDDDWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.60
0.40
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.70
Against
3.90
8.60
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
0.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

2.00goals per match
Alaves conceded1.50
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.60goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.70
Corners against
3.90
8.60
Match total
7.80
20%2/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.40
Match total
6.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
17.00N=10
21.80
Match total
30.80

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.30
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches200
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.5%53.5%+3.0 pp
Draw29.3%31.5%+2.2 pp
Away20.3%15.0%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.5%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

1.420.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.5%
0-014.0%
2-012.5%
1-111.5%
2-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.393.67
Average total9.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=200.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.529.5%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.2%34.3%–56.6% CI
Draw FT45.2%34.3%–56.6% CI
Away FT9.6%4.7%–18.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.6%
2+ goals30.1%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.2%
Away27.4%