La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 17:30
11.8850.5%
X3.2429.3%
24.6820.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Bilbao
WWWDWWDDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Alaves
LDDWLDDDWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.60
0.40
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.70
Against
3.90
8.60
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
0.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
2.00goals per matchAlaves conceded1.50Matchup
Alaves attack
1.60goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.70
Corners against
3.90
8.60
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.40
Match total
6.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
17.00N=10
21.80
Match total
30.80
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.30
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches200
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.5%53.5%+3.0 pp
Draw29.3%31.5%+2.2 pp
Away20.3%15.0%-5.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.5%
BTTS40.0%
Historical average
1.42–0.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.5%
0-014.0%
2-012.5%
1-111.5%
2-19.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.39–3.67
Average total9.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=200.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.529.5%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.2%34.3%–56.6% CI
Draw FT45.2%34.3%–56.6% CI
Away FT9.6%4.7%–18.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal61.6%
2+ goals30.1%
3+ goals15.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.2%
Away27.4%