La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 15:15
11.9748.2%
X4.0823.3%
23.3428.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
LWWWWWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Real Madrid
WDWWLDLWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

9.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.60
Against
4.80
11.60
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
3.50
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.70goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.90
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.70goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.60
Corners against
4.80
11.60
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.90
Match total
5.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
8.00N=10
21.80
Match total
23.10

Shots

21.00N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
7.50
On target
5.30
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.2%70.0%+21.8 pp
Draw23.3%10.0%-13.3 pp
Away28.5%20.0%-8.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.101.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.0%
0-410.0%
4-310.0%
1-110.0%
1-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.103.40
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals36.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.7%
Away42.1%