La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 13:00
12.4139.5%
X3.0731.0%
23.2229.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leganes
LLWLDWLDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Espanol
LLDLWLWWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.80
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.20
Against
6.40
9.20
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.80
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leganes attack

1.10goals per match
Espanol conceded0.90
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.10goals per match
Leganes conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.00N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.40
9.20
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
27.10
Match total
24.70

Shots

7.90N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
2.60
On target
2.10
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches561
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%39.4%-0.1 pp
Draw31.0%31.7%+0.7 pp
Away29.5%28.9%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.517.5%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.211.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
1-012.5%
0-011.2%
0-19.4%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.814.04
Average total8.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=561.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.9%
Over 9.538.0%
Over 10.528.2%
Over 11.519.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches210
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.8%27.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT42.9%36.4%–49.6% CI
Away FT23.3%18.1%–29.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away44.3%