La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 20:00
11.6856.7%
X3.8324.9%
25.1818.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWWDWDWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Sociedad
WLLLLLDWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.50
Against
5.90
9.20
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.00goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.80
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.10goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.90
9.20
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
22.00
Match total
24.40

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
5.30
On target
2.90
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches555
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.7%57.1%+0.4 pp
Draw24.9%24.3%-0.6 pp
Away18.4%18.6%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS50.3%

Historical average

1.690.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.5%
1-111.7%
2-110.6%
2-09.2%
0-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.023.63
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=555.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches183
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.5%40.4%–54.8% CI
Draw FT32.8%26.4%–39.9% CI
Away FT19.7%14.6%–26.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.3%
2+ goals45.4%
3+ goals19.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away41.0%