La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 17:30
13.1230.5%
X3.7225.5%
22.1644.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Girona
LWLWLDDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Villarreal
LWLDWWLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.60
Against
3.60
9.90
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Girona attack

1.20goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.30
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.30goals per match
Girona conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.60
9.90
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
22.80
Match total
25.90

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.00
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches191
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.5%26.7%-3.8 pp
Draw25.5%27.2%+1.7 pp
Away44.0%46.1%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.541.4%
BTTS63.4%

Historical average

1.401.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.0%
1-29.9%
2-27.3%
0-27.3%
1-36.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.955.32
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=191.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.548.7%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.0%12.8%–35.2% CI
Draw FT38.0%25.9%–51.8% CI
Away FT40.0%27.6%–53.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals56.0%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away58.0%