La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-09 · 20:00
12.4738.8%
X3.2929.1%
22.9832.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Las Palmas
WWLDLLDLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Vallecano
WDDDWLLWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
0.80
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.80
Against
5.80
8.40
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Las Palmas attack

1.20goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.20
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.90goals per match
Las Palmas conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
90%9/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.80
8.40
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.20
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
25.10
Match total
23.00

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.60
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches763
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%42.1%+3.3 pp
Draw29.1%29.1%-0.0 pp
Away32.1%28.8%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.371.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-010.9%
2-19.8%
0-19.6%
2-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.72
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=763.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches249
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.5%25.1%–36.5% CI
Draw FT40.2%34.3%–46.4% CI
Away FT29.3%24.0%–35.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.2%
Away49.8%