La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-09 · 20:00
12.4738.8%
X3.2929.1%
22.9832.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Las Palmas
WWLDLLDLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Vallecano
WDDDWLLWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
0.80
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.80
Against
5.80
8.40
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Las Palmas attack
1.20goals per matchVallecano conceded1.20Matchup
Vallecano attack
0.90goals per matchLas Palmas conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.80
8.40
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.20
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
25.10
Match total
23.00
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.60
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches763
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%42.1%+3.3 pp
Draw29.1%29.1%-0.0 pp
Away32.1%28.8%-3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS50.7%
Historical average
1.37–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
1-010.9%
2-19.8%
0-19.6%
2-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.26–4.72
Average total9.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=763.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches249
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.5%25.1%–36.5% CI
Draw FT40.2%34.3%–46.4% CI
Away FT29.3%24.0%–35.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals12.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.2%
Away49.8%