La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 20:00
12.4738.5%
X3.1430.3%
23.0431.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WWDWLWWLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Ath Bilbao
WDWWDDLWDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.90
Against
4.50
8.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.10goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded0.90
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.10goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.50
8.80
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.30N=10
5.00
Match total
2.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
27.20
Match total
23.00

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.40
On target
4.10
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches322
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.5%43.5%+5.0 pp
Draw30.3%32.3%+2.0 pp
Away31.3%24.2%-7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.517.1%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

1.260.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.0%
1-112.4%
0-012.1%
2-110.2%
2-09.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.914.08
Average total9.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=322.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.7%
Over 9.539.1%
Over 10.529.2%
Over 11.520.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.1%29.1%–45.9% CI
Draw FT43.5%35.1%–52.3% CI
Away FT19.4%13.4%–27.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.5%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away40.3%