La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 15:15
11.7953.1%
X3.4127.9%
24.9919.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
WDWDDLDLLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Leganes
LDWDDLLLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.90
Against
7.70
9.30
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

0.90goals per match
Leganes conceded1.60
Matchup

Leganes attack

0.90goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
7.70
9.30
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.30
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.10
Match total
25.40

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.00
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.1%48.1%-5.0 pp
Draw27.9%26.0%-1.9 pp
Away19.0%26.0%+6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS45.2%

Historical average

1.430.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-011.5%
0-111.5%
2-011.5%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.503.19
Average total8.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.1%
Over 9.536.5%
Over 10.524.0%
Over 11.519.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.3%17.4%–47.3% CI
Draw FT36.4%22.2%–53.4% CI
Away FT33.3%19.8%–50.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals6.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.4%
Away45.5%