La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 13:00
11.3670.0%
X5.6416.9%
27.2613.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWWWDWWWLW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Celta
LLLDLDDWWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.40
Against
3.30
11.60
Total
6.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
3.30
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.40goals per match
Celta conceded1.70
Matchup

Celta attack

1.30goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.30
11.60
Match total
6.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
0%0/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.60
Match total
4.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.50N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.20
Match total
24.10

Shots

19.50N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
7.80
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.0%76.7%+6.7 pp
Draw16.9%14.0%-2.9 pp
Away13.1%9.3%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.546.5%
BTTS72.1%

Historical average

2.401.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.9%
3-116.3%
1-09.3%
2-07.0%
1-14.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.864.05
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away9.1%