La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 13:00
11.3670.0%
X5.6416.9%
27.2613.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Real Madrid
WWWWDWWWLW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Celta
LLLDLDDWWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
2.10
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
8.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.40
Against
3.30
11.60
Total
6.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
3.30
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Real Madrid attack
2.40goals per matchCelta conceded1.70Matchup
Celta attack
1.30goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.30
11.60
Match total
6.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.60
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.50N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.20
Match total
24.10
Shots
19.50N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
7.80
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.0%76.7%+6.7 pp
Draw16.9%14.0%-2.9 pp
Away13.1%9.3%-3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.546.5%
BTTS72.1%
Historical average
2.40–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-120.9%
3-116.3%
1-09.3%
2-07.0%
1-14.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.86–4.05
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.537.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.8%
Away9.1%