La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 20:00
114.726.4%
X8.5311.1%
21.1582.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
DLWWLLDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Barcelona
WLDWDDWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
2.50
2.20
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
2.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.80
Against
5.20
8.60
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
2.50
2.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.60goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.00
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.50goals per match
Valladolid conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
2.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.20
8.60
Match total
10.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
23.60
Match total
22.20

Shots

8.70N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
2.40
On target
4.80
7%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home6.4%5.9%-0.6 pp
Draw11.1%5.9%-5.2 pp
Away82.4%88.2%+5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.558.8%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

0.883.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-217.6%
1-611.8%
2-511.8%
2-411.8%
1-211.8%

Comparable corner averages

2.716.82
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away70.0%