La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 17:30
12.5936.7%
X3.3428.5%
22.7334.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Las Palmas
LWWLDLLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Valencia
LLDDLDDDWD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
90%
By half
0.40
1H goals
1.70
2.40
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.60
Against
6.20
7.70
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Las Palmas attack
1.20goals per matchValencia conceded1.90Matchup
Valencia attack
1.20goals per matchLas Palmas conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.20
7.70
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
6.60
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
26.10
Match total
22.40
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.60
On target
2.50
9%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches981
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.7%34.8%-1.9 pp
Draw28.5%29.8%+1.3 pp
Away34.8%35.5%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS54.5%
Historical average
1.25–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.2%
0-110.4%
1-09.7%
1-28.8%
0-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.12–4.63
Average total9.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=981.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches314
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT29.0%24.2%–34.2% CI
Draw FT40.4%35.2%–46.0% CI
Away FT30.6%25.7%–35.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals15.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.3%
Away52.9%