La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 17:30
12.5936.7%
X3.3428.5%
22.7334.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Las Palmas
LWWLDLLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Valencia
LLDDLDDDWD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.70
2.40
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.60
Against
6.20
7.70
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Las Palmas attack

1.20goals per match
Valencia conceded1.90
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.20goals per match
Las Palmas conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.30
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
90%9/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.20
7.70
Match total
10.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
6.60
Match total
3.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
26.10
Match total
22.40

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.60
On target
2.50
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches981
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.7%34.8%-1.9 pp
Draw28.5%29.8%+1.3 pp
Away34.8%35.5%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.251.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
0-110.4%
1-09.7%
1-28.8%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.63
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=981.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches314
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT29.0%24.2%–34.2% CI
Draw FT40.4%35.2%–46.0% CI
Away FT30.6%25.7%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.3%
Away52.9%