La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:15
11.5461.8%
X4.4021.6%
25.7716.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
DLDWWDLDDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Osasuna
DDLDDLLDDW
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.40
1.40
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.20
Against
5.00
11.30
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.80goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.10
Matchup

Osasuna attack

0.70goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
20%2/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.00
11.30
Match total
9.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.80
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
23.80
Match total
25.30

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.60
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches329
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.8%65.0%+3.2 pp
Draw21.6%18.8%-2.8 pp
Away16.5%16.1%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.538.6%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

2.130.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.4%
1-110.6%
2-18.5%
2-07.9%
4-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.453.49
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=329.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.2%43.2%–63.0% CI
Draw FT33.0%24.3%–43.0% CI
Away FT13.8%8.3%–22.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.4%
2+ goals47.9%
3+ goals18.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.6%
Away42.6%