La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 13:00
13.7625.3%
X3.1530.2%
22.1444.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
DDLDLLWLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Ath Madrid
WWWLDWLDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
0.80
0%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.00
0.80
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.30
Against
5.50
10.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
0.80
1.40
Total goals
2.40
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.50goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.80
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.60goals per match
Alaves conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.50
10.10
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.00
Match total
4.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
29.60
Match total
24.70

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
5%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.3%28.6%+3.3 pp
Draw30.2%23.2%-7.0 pp
Away44.5%48.2%+3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.515.2%
BTTS41.1%

Historical average

0.871.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-120.5%
1-013.4%
1-112.5%
0-29.8%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.795.23
Average total9.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.540.2%
Over 10.527.7%
Over 11.518.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.6%11.4%–37.2% CI
Draw FT27.0%15.4%–43.0% CI
Away FT51.4%35.9%–66.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.8%
2+ goals32.4%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.8%
Away62.2%