La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-02 · 20:00
12.4239.6%
X2.9832.1%
23.3828.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
LDWWWLDDLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Getafe
LLWWWWLWWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.70
Against
4.70
7.90
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
0.80
2.90
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.30goals per match
Getafe conceded0.80
Matchup

Getafe attack

1.40goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.70
7.90
Match total
8.60
20%2/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.10
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
17.40N=10
25.30
Match total
30.30

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.40
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches413
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.6%40.0%+0.4 pp
Draw32.1%33.7%+1.5 pp
Away28.3%26.4%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS46.0%

Historical average

1.190.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
0-013.6%
1-012.1%
0-110.2%
2-110.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.033.93
Average total8.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=413.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.529.8%
Over 11.520.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches165
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.5%24.9%–39.0% CI
Draw FT47.3%39.8%–54.9% CI
Away FT21.2%15.7%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.1%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.1%
Away41.8%