La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 15:15
11.4465.5%
X4.8519.5%
26.2815.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WDLDWWDLDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Espanol
LLLDLWLWWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Against
6.20
10.80
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.00goals per match
Espanol conceded1.20
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.20goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.20
10.80
Match total
8.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.80
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
24.60
Match total
24.00

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
5.40
On target
2.10
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches162
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.5%72.8%+7.3 pp
Draw19.5%18.5%-0.9 pp
Away15.0%8.6%-6.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.531.5%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

2.220.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.8%
2-114.8%
1-013.0%
2-28.0%
3-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.283.29
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=162.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.0%50.1%–75.9% CI
Draw FT26.0%15.9%–39.6% CI
Away FT10.0%4.3%–21.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.84

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.0%
2+ goals56.0%
3+ goals28.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.0%
Away30.0%