La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-24 · 20:30
11.5561.3%
X4.0323.6%
26.2815.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Madrid
WWWWDWDWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Vallecano
LWDDDWLLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
0.70
100%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.20
Against
6.00
8.80
Total
10.80
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.90goals per matchVallecano conceded1.00Matchup
Vallecano attack
0.90goals per matchAth Madrid conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.00
8.80
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.90
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.40
Match total
23.50
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.60
On target
3.30
14%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches324
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.3%63.6%+2.3 pp
Draw23.6%24.4%+0.8 pp
Away15.1%12.0%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS42.0%
Historical average
1.82–0.68
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.4%
3-011.1%
1-111.1%
2-010.8%
2-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.25–3.63
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=323.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.530.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches118
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.4%44.4%–62.1% CI
Draw FT30.5%22.9%–39.3% CI
Away FT16.1%10.6%–23.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals18.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.6%
Away34.7%