La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-24 · 18:00
12.4938.3%
X3.0331.5%
23.1530.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Osasuna
WDDLDWDDLW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Sevilla
LLLWDWDWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.60
Against
4.40
8.00
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Osasuna attack
1.60goals per matchSevilla conceded1.40Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.40goals per matchOsasuna conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.40
8.00
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
25.40
Match total
23.30
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.40
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches493
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.3%39.6%+1.3 pp
Draw31.5%31.2%-0.2 pp
Away30.3%29.2%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS50.1%
Historical average
1.20–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
1-013.2%
0-012.2%
2-110.3%
0-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.87–4.31
Average total9.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=493.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.542.6%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.523.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches186
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.3%26.0%–39.3% CI
Draw FT47.3%40.3%–54.5% CI
Away FT20.4%15.3%–26.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.7%
2+ goals34.4%
3+ goals14.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.7%
Away40.9%