La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-23 · 20:30
12.3740.1%
X3.0431.3%
23.3228.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
WDDLDLLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Sociedad
LWLLLLLDWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.80
0%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
0.80
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.90
Against
5.70
9.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
1.40
Total goals
2.90
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.50goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.80
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.10goals per match
Alaves conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.70
9.80
Match total
10.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.60
Match total
4.70
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
29.30
Match total
23.70

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.80
On target
3.00
5%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches462
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%39.4%-0.7 pp
Draw31.3%32.7%+1.4 pp
Away28.6%27.9%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.180.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.9%
1-113.2%
0-012.8%
0-19.7%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.974.07
Average total9.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=462.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.2%
Over 9.541.6%
Over 10.531.0%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches183
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.4%27.9%–41.6% CI
Draw FT45.9%38.8%–53.1% CI
Away FT19.7%14.6%–26.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.8%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.6%
Away40.4%