La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-23 · 18:00
12.5237.8%
X3.4127.9%
22.7734.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
WDWWLWWWDL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Villarreal
DLWLDWWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.00
Against
3.00
8.40
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.50goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.20
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.50goals per match
Celta conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.00
8.40
Match total
8.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.50
Match total
5.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
22.90
Match total
25.80

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
5.20
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches245
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.8%34.3%-3.5 pp
Draw27.9%28.6%+0.7 pp
Away34.3%37.1%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.538.4%
BTTS64.5%

Historical average

1.491.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
0-18.6%
2-28.2%
2-18.2%
1-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.344.87
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=245.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches63
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.9%24.3%–47.2% CI
Draw FT34.9%24.3%–47.2% CI
Away FT30.2%20.2%–42.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.3%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.7%
Away60.3%