La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-23 · 18:00
11.3669.8%
X5.0019.0%
28.4811.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
DWWWDWWDDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Las Palmas
WWDLLLDLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.30
0.50
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
2.60
Against
8.00
8.80
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.30
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

2.00goals per match
Las Palmas conceded1.50
Matchup

Las Palmas attack

1.30goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
2.60
Corners against
8.00
8.80
Match total
10.90
20%2/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.30
Match total
23.30

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
5.70
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches132
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.8%68.9%-0.9 pp
Draw19.0%18.2%-0.8 pp
Away11.2%12.9%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

2.030.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.9%
2-112.1%
2-09.8%
3-09.1%
1-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

7.133.19
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=132.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.5%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.9%39.5%–71.1% CI
Draw FT35.3%21.5%–52.1% CI
Away FT8.8%3.0%–23.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.5%
Away38.2%