La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 20:00
11.6757.0%
X3.9424.1%
25.0418.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
LWWWWDWWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Ath Bilbao
DWDWWDDLWD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.10
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.60
Against
3.60
11.40
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
3.60
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.30goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded0.90
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.20goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.60
11.40
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
24.20
Match total
23.20

Shots

18.20N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
7.50
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches387
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.0%59.2%+2.2 pp
Draw24.1%22.2%-1.9 pp
Away18.9%18.6%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.911.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.9%
1-010.3%
1-19.3%
2-09.3%
3-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.993.91
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=387.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.3%37.3%–57.4% CI
Draw FT34.1%25.2%–44.3% CI
Away FT18.7%12.0%–27.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals18.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.7%
Away37.4%