La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 17:30
12.0746.0%
X3.0731.0%
24.1423.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
LWDWDDLDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Alaves
LLDDWLDDDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.20
Against
4.30
9.80
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

0.80goals per match
Alaves conceded1.70
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.50goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.30
9.80
Match total
7.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.20
Match total
6.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
24.30
Match total
32.50

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.80
On target
3.50
6%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%48.5%+2.5 pp
Draw31.0%33.5%+2.5 pp
Away23.0%18.0%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.515.0%
BTTS43.1%

Historical average

1.340.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-013.8%
0-013.2%
2-111.4%
2-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.543.92
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.9%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.525.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%25.8%–48.4% CI
Draw FT47.0%35.4%–58.8% CI
Away FT16.7%9.6%–27.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals10.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away34.8%