La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 15:15
11.7056.0%
X3.8524.7%
24.9419.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
DWDLDWWDLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Sociedad
WLWLLLLLDW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.90
Against
5.20
10.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.90goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.60
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.10goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.20
10.40
Match total
10.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.90
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.10
Match total
23.60

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.30
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches677
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.0%59.7%+3.7 pp
Draw24.7%22.7%-2.0 pp
Away19.3%17.6%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.740.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.1%
2-112.7%
2-011.7%
1-19.9%
0-06.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.103.91
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=677.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches208
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT49.5%42.8%–56.3% CI
Draw FT34.6%28.5%–41.3% CI
Away FT15.9%11.5%–21.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.9%
Away37.5%