La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 15:15
11.7056.0%
X3.8524.7%
24.9419.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Villarreal
DWDLDWWDLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Sociedad
WLWLLLLLDW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.90
Against
5.20
10.40
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Villarreal attack
1.90goals per matchSociedad conceded1.60Matchup
Sociedad attack
1.10goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.20
10.40
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.90
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.10
Match total
23.60
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.30
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches677
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.0%59.7%+3.7 pp
Draw24.7%22.7%-2.0 pp
Away19.3%17.6%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
1.74–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.1%
2-112.7%
2-011.7%
1-19.9%
0-06.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.10–3.91
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=677.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.531.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches208
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT49.5%42.8%–56.3% CI
Draw FT34.6%28.5%–41.3% CI
Away FT15.9%11.5%–21.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.9%
Away37.5%