La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 20:00
15.7916.4%
X4.2022.6%
21.5660.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Las Palmas
WLWWLDLLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Ath Madrid
LWWWLDWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.10
2.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.70
Against
5.40
7.70
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
0.80
2.80
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Las Palmas attack

1.20goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.80
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.60goals per match
Las Palmas conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.40
7.70
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
7.10
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.10
Match total
23.30

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.70
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches142
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.4%11.3%-5.2 pp
Draw22.6%21.8%-0.8 pp
Away60.9%66.9%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

0.852.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.8%
1-213.4%
1-112.0%
0-29.2%
1-38.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.876.07
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=142.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%5.5%–26.1% CI
Draw FT27.5%16.1%–42.8% CI
Away FT60.0%44.6%–73.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals47.5%
3+ goals22.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.5%
Away80.0%