La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 15:15
11.3073.3%
X6.1015.6%
28.6111.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
LLLWWWWWWD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Celta
DLLLDLDDWW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.50
Against
3.10
11.30
Total
6.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.30goals per match
Celta conceded1.50
Matchup

Celta attack

1.20goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.50
Corners against
3.10
11.30
Match total
6.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
0%0/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.60
Match total
4.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
21.40
Match total
23.80

Shots

19.90N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
6.80
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.3%59.5%-13.8 pp
Draw15.6%24.3%+8.7 pp
Away11.1%16.2%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.573.0%
Over 3.551.4%
BTTS59.5%

Historical average

2.511.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-08.1%
4-08.1%
2-28.1%
2-18.1%
2-05.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.243.68
Average total10.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.7%
Over 9.573.0%
Over 10.559.5%
Over 11.540.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away31.3%