La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 13:00
12.2941.5%
X3.1330.3%
23.3728.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
LLDWWWLDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Valencia
DLLDDLDDDW
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
1.80
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
2.00
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.90
Against
6.50
8.80
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.30goals per match
Valencia conceded1.90
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.20goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.50
8.80
Match total
10.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.10
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
24.40
Match total
23.30

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.70
On target
2.30
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches973
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.5%43.3%+1.8 pp
Draw30.3%31.0%+0.7 pp
Away28.2%25.7%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.517.8%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.280.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-013.6%
0-010.3%
2-010.2%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.994.20
Average total9.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=973.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches360
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.3%30.5%–40.3% CI
Draw FT43.1%38.0%–48.2% CI
Away FT21.7%17.7%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.2%
Away43.3%