La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 15:15
15.2318.2%
X4.1323.0%
21.6258.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
LWDDLDLLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Real Madrid
WLWDWWLDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.90
1.10
Conceded
1.10
10%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.10
Against
4.70
10.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
1.80
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.70goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.90goals per match
Alaves conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.70
10.10
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.60
Match total
4.60
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
8.10N=10
28.90
Match total
23.40

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.60
On target
5.60
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches113
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.2%17.7%-0.5 pp
Draw23.0%17.7%-5.3 pp
Away58.8%64.6%+5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS49.6%

Historical average

0.861.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-213.3%
1-211.5%
0-311.5%
0-110.6%
1-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.065.73
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=113.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.8%5.9%–32.5% CI
Draw FT25.9%13.2%–44.7% CI
Away FT59.3%40.7%–75.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals29.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away70.4%