La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 20:00
18.4111.3%
X5.9416.0%
21.3172.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leganes
WLLLWLDWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Barcelona
WWLDWDDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
2.70
1.90
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
2.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
2.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.90
Against
5.90
8.30
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.70
1.90
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leganes attack
1.10goals per matchBarcelona conceded1.00Matchup
Barcelona attack
2.70goals per matchLeganes conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.90
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.90
8.30
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.20
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
26.80
Match total
22.90
Shots
7.80N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
2.80
On target
5.30
14%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.3%7.5%-3.8 pp
Draw16.0%22.6%+6.6 pp
Away72.7%69.8%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.541.5%
BTTS56.6%
Historical average
1.00–2.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.2%
1-211.3%
0-211.3%
0-19.4%
0-37.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.70–7.15
Average total10.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.5%
Over 9.567.9%
Over 10.550.9%
Over 11.545.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.0%
Away80.0%