La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 17:30
11.6458.2%
X3.8125.0%
25.6916.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
LWDWWLWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Espanol
LLLLLDLWLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Against
5.70
7.40
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.60goals per match
Espanol conceded1.80
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.10goals per match
Celta conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.70
7.40
Match total
8.20
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
23.40
Match total
26.60

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.10
On target
2.00
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches380
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.2%58.7%+0.5 pp
Draw25.0%25.8%+0.7 pp
Away16.8%15.5%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.710.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.3%
1-113.9%
2-110.0%
2-09.7%
0-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.073.61
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=380.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches116
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.8%36.1%–53.9% CI
Draw FT38.8%30.4%–47.9% CI
Away FT16.4%10.7%–24.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.7%
Away40.5%