La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-11 · 20:00
12.3440.9%
X3.1230.7%
23.3628.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
WLDLWWWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Sevilla
WLLLWDWDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.80
Against
5.40
9.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.50goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.30
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.60goals per match
Valencia conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.40
9.00
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.80
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
26.00
Match total
22.80

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.80
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%42.1%+1.2 pp
Draw30.7%31.0%+0.4 pp
Away28.5%26.9%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.261.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-013.3%
0-010.0%
2-09.8%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.134.29
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,114.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.545.7%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.525.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches405
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.8%28.4%–37.6% CI
Draw FT43.2%38.5%–48.1% CI
Away FT24.0%20.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.6%
Away44.2%