La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 20:00
12.2242.9%
X3.3828.1%
23.2829.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Villarreal
WDWDLDWWDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Ath Bilbao
DDWDWWDDLW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
6.00N=10
4.60
Against
3.10
9.80
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
3.30
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Villarreal attack
2.20goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded0.90Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
1.20goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.10
9.80
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.10
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
26.30
Match total
23.10
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.60
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches869
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%42.8%-0.0 pp
Draw28.1%28.5%+0.4 pp
Away29.0%28.7%-0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS54.7%
Historical average
1.48–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.2%
1-010.5%
2-18.6%
1-28.3%
0-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.69–4.53
Average total10.22
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=868.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.6%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.532.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches257
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.2%28.7%–40.2% CI
Draw FT39.3%33.5%–45.4% CI
Away FT26.5%21.4%–32.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals18.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.9%
Away45.9%