La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 20:00
12.2242.9%
X3.3828.1%
23.2829.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WDWDLDWWDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Ath Bilbao
DDWDWWDDLW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
6.00N=10
4.60
Against
3.10
9.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
3.30
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.20goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded0.90
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.20goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.10
9.80
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.10
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
26.30
Match total
23.10

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.60
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches869
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%42.8%-0.0 pp
Draw28.1%28.5%+0.4 pp
Away29.0%28.7%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.481.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
1-010.5%
2-18.6%
1-28.3%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.694.53
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=868.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.6%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches257
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.2%28.7%–40.2% CI
Draw FT39.3%33.5%–45.4% CI
Away FT26.5%21.4%–32.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.9%
Away45.9%