La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 15:15
13.4127.9%
X3.2929.0%
22.2143.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
WLWDWDDLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Ath Madrid
DLWWWLDWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
0.80
10%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.60
Against
5.20
8.90
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
1.90
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

0.80goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.80
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.50goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.20
8.90
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.60
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
24.70
Match total
22.60

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.70
On target
3.10
6%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches412
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.9%26.0%-2.0 pp
Draw29.0%31.1%+2.1 pp
Away43.1%43.0%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS43.4%

Historical average

0.951.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.8%
0-013.6%
1-112.9%
1-010.4%
1-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.285.13
Average total9.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=412.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches147
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.7%12.4%–24.7% CI
Draw FT51.0%43.0%–59.0% CI
Away FT31.3%24.4%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.9%
2+ goals27.2%
3+ goals10.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.7%
Away48.3%