La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 17:30
12.6835.6%
X3.0930.9%
22.8533.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mallorca
DLWLWLDWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Celta
LDLLLDLDDW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.20
Against
3.10
10.00
Total
6.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Mallorca attack

1.20goals per match
Celta conceded1.70
Matchup

Celta attack

1.00goals per match
Mallorca conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.20
Corners against
3.10
10.00
Match total
6.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
24.40
Match total
25.00

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.40
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches800
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.6%35.1%-0.5 pp
Draw30.9%34.0%+3.1 pp
Away33.5%30.9%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.0%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.121.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-013.1%
0-012.6%
0-111.0%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.824.47
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=800.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.524.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches297
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.0%26.0%–36.5% CI
Draw FT44.4%38.9%–50.1% CI
Away FT24.6%20.0%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.0%
2+ goals29.6%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.5%
Away39.1%