La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:15
11.3073.2%
X5.6816.7%
29.4410.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WLWWWWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Valencia
DDLLDDLDDD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.70
Against
5.70
10.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
3.50
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.40goals per match
Valencia conceded1.80
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.00goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.70
10.80
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.70
Match total
23.90

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
6.80
On target
2.20
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches191
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.2%73.8%+0.6 pp
Draw16.7%17.3%+0.5 pp
Away10.1%8.9%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.536.6%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

2.410.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-013.1%
2-112.0%
2-011.0%
1-08.4%
1-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.323.24
Average total10.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=190.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.7%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%50.3%–79.8% CI
Draw FT27.8%15.8%–44.0% CI
Away FT5.6%1.5%–18.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.1%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away38.9%