La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 13:00
12.0845.8%
X3.3628.4%
23.6925.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Girona
LWWLWLWLDD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Alaves
LLLDDWLDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.00
Against
4.80
9.70
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.40
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Girona attack

1.80goals per match
Alaves conceded1.80
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.40goals per match
Girona conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.80
9.70
Match total
8.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.70
Match total
6.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
17.80N=10
23.10
Match total
32.20

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.70
On target
3.90
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches677
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.8%47.3%+1.5 pp
Draw28.4%27.8%-0.6 pp
Away25.8%25.0%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.430.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.9%
1-113.3%
2-19.9%
2-09.6%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.444.26
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=677.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches226
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.3%34.1%–46.8% CI
Draw FT39.8%33.7%–46.3% CI
Away FT19.9%15.2%–25.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.6%
Away38.1%