La Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-04 · 20:00
11.6956.7%
X3.5527.0%
25.8816.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
WLLDWWWLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Espanol
LLLLLLDLWL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Against
5.70
8.40
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.40goals per match
Espanol conceded1.90
Matchup

Espanol attack

0.70goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.70
8.40
Match total
8.20
20%2/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.30
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
24.80
Match total
28.20

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
5.60
On target
1.40
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches133
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.7%53.4%-3.3 pp
Draw27.0%29.3%+2.3 pp
Away16.3%17.3%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.519.5%
BTTS43.6%

Historical average

1.430.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.5%
1-113.5%
2-112.8%
0-010.5%
2-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.203.29
Average total8.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=133.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.9%
Over 9.533.1%
Over 10.523.3%
Over 11.515.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.1%37.2%–64.7% CI
Draw FT36.2%24.0%–50.5% CI
Away FT12.8%6.0%–25.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.4%
Away27.7%