La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 15:15
11.2476.9%
X6.7214.2%
210.698.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WWLLLWWWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Girona
DLWDLWLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.00
Against
5.10
11.30
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.60goals per match
Girona conceded1.40
Matchup

Girona attack

0.80goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.10
11.30
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.80
Match total
5.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
21.40
Match total
24.10

Shots

20.00N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
7.20
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.9%75.7%-1.2 pp
Draw14.2%10.8%-3.4 pp
Away8.9%13.5%+4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.6%
Over 2.589.2%
Over 3.559.5%
BTTS67.6%

Historical average

3.221.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.2%
5-18.1%
4-28.1%
4-18.1%
1-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.783.00
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals46.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.3%
Away60.0%