La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 13:00
13.2829.1%
X3.1430.4%
22.3540.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Getafe
DDLWWLDDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Villarreal
LWDLWLDWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.50
Against
2.80
7.50
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
1.70
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Getafe attack

0.90goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.30
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.30goals per match
Getafe conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
2.80
7.50
Match total
8.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.90
Match total
5.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
30.50
Match total
25.10

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
3.50
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches414
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.1%25.6%-3.5 pp
Draw30.4%32.9%+2.5 pp
Away40.6%41.5%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS42.3%

Historical average

0.951.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.0%
1-114.7%
0-011.8%
1-09.9%
0-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.444.87
Average total9.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=414.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.533.6%
Over 11.525.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches148
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.6%15.8%–28.9% CI
Draw FT45.3%37.5%–53.3% CI
Away FT33.1%26.0%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.9%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.8%
Away47.3%