La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 20:00
11.1583.1%
X8.3711.4%
217.305.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWLWWWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Leganes
DLLDWDDLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.80
Against
7.80
10.50
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
3.50
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.40goals per match
Leganes conceded1.70
Matchup

Leganes attack

0.90goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.80
10.50
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.60
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.20
Match total
24.10

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
6.20
On target
3.70
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.1%86.5%+3.5 pp
Draw11.4%9.6%-1.8 pp
Away5.5%3.8%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.548.1%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

2.910.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.3%
3-011.5%
4-09.6%
3-19.6%
4-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.772.55
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.559.6%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT83.3%60.8%–94.2% CI
Draw FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–17.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals44.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home88.9%
Away22.2%