La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 17:30
12.1943.6%
X2.9931.9%
23.8924.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
LLWDDLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Vallecano
WLLWDDDWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
0.90
20%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
0.70
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.90
Against
5.90
10.20
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
1.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.70goals per match
Vallecano conceded0.90
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.80goals per match
Alaves conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.90
10.20
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.20
Match total
5.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
28.40
Match total
24.30

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
3.40
On target
3.00
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches241
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.6%46.1%+2.5 pp
Draw31.9%29.5%-2.4 pp
Away24.5%24.5%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.514.5%
BTTS42.7%

Historical average

1.220.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.1%
1-113.7%
0-012.0%
0-111.6%
2-110.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.973.83
Average total8.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=241.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.4%
Over 9.539.0%
Over 10.527.8%
Over 11.521.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches95
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.5%21.2%–39.3% CI
Draw FT47.4%37.6%–57.3% CI
Away FT23.2%15.8%–32.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.5%
2+ goals33.7%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.4%
Away43.2%