La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 15:15
15.8716.2%
X3.8125.0%
21.6258.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Espanol
WLWDDDWWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Ath Madrid
WDLWWWLDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
0.70
30%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.90
Against
5.00
10.30
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
2.10
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.20goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.70
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.50goals per match
Espanol conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.00
10.30
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.50
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
25.00
Match total
21.70

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.40
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.2%17.1%+0.9 pp
Draw25.0%24.4%-0.6 pp
Away58.8%58.5%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

0.781.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.1%
0-214.6%
1-212.2%
2-19.8%
0-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.935.10
Average total9.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.529.3%
Over 11.522.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away66.7%