La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 20:00
13.0331.5%
X3.6426.2%
22.2542.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWWWWWDWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Barcelona
LWWLDWDDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
2.50
0.70
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
2.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.80
Against
5.80
9.00
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
3.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.80goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.20
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.50goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.80
9.00
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
24.20
Match total
22.40

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.70
On target
5.20
13%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches160
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.5%27.5%-4.0 pp
Draw26.2%29.4%+3.2 pp
Away42.4%43.1%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS66.9%

Historical average

1.361.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
1-210.0%
2-28.8%
2-17.5%
1-36.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.705.10
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=160.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.5%10.8%–35.5% CI
Draw FT33.3%20.6%–49.0% CI
Away FT46.2%31.6%–61.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.5%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals28.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.7%
Away66.7%