La Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 15:15
12.9632.2%
X3.1530.3%
22.5437.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
WWLWDWDDLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Ath Bilbao
LDDWDWWDDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.40
Against
3.30
8.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.00goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.20goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.30
8.90
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.90
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
24.80
Match total
23.10

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
3.80
On target
4.00
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches414
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%31.6%-0.6 pp
Draw30.3%32.6%+2.3 pp
Away37.5%35.7%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.071.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
0-012.3%
0-112.1%
1-28.7%
1-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.694.67
Average total9.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=414.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT22.2%16.4%–29.4% CI
Draw FT49.7%41.9%–57.5% CI
Away FT28.1%21.6%–35.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.1%
Away49.0%